How Many Americans Are At Risk? (updated 12/19/2013)
If Alabama fully expands Medicaid eligibility, 321,000 people will gain health coverage. If the state does not expand eligibility, this group may still purchase health insurance through an exchange, but 254,000 will not be eligible for any tax credits to subsidize the cost of premiums.
If Alaska fully expands Medicaid eligibility, 41,000 people will gain health coverage. If the state does not expand eligibility, this group may still purchase health insurance through an exchange, but 30,000 will not be eligible for any tax credits to subsidize the cost of premiums.
Arizona’s commitment to expand Medicaid eligibility will result in 89,000 people gaining health coverage.
Arkansas’ commitment to expand Medicaid eligibility will result in 218,000 people gaining health coverage.
California’s commitment to expand Medicaid eligibility will result in 1,873,000 people gaining health coverage.
Colorado’s commitment to expand Medicaid eligibility will result in 225,000 people gaining health coverage.
Connecticut’s commitment to expand Medicaid eligibility will result in 88,000 people gaining health coverage.
Delaware’s commitment to expand Medicaid eligibility will result in 9,000 people gaining health coverage.
The District of Columbia’s commitment to expand Medicaid eligibility will result in 17,000 people gaining health coverage.
If Florida fully expands Medicaid eligibility, 1,295,000 people will gain health coverage. If the state does not expand eligibility, this group may still purchase health insurance through an exchange, but 995,000 will not be eligible for any tax credits to subsidize the cost of premiums.
If Georgia fully expands Medicaid eligibility, 684,000 people will gain health coverage. If the state does not expand eligibility, this group may still purchase health insurance through an exchange, but 534,000 will not be eligible for any tax credits to subsidize the cost of premiums.
Hawaii’s commitment to expand Medicaid eligibility will result in 37,000 people gaining health coverage.
If Idaho fully expands Medicaid eligibility, 180,000 people will gain health coverage. If the state does not expand eligibility, this group may still purchase health insurance through an exchange, but 79,000 will not be eligible for any tax credits to subsidize the cost of premiums.
Illinois’ commitment to expand Medicaid eligibility will result in 522,000 people gaining health coverage.
If Indiana fully expands Medicaid eligibility, 374,000 people will gain health coverage. If the state does not expand eligibility, this group may still purchase health insurance through an exchange, but 288,000 will not be eligible for any tax credits to subsidize the cost of premiums.
If Iowa fully expands Medicaid eligibility, 106,000 people will gain health coverage. If the state does not expand eligibility, this group may still purchase health insurance through an exchange, but 80,000 will not be eligible for any tax credits to subsidize the cost of premiums.
If Kansas fully expands Medicaid eligibility, 141,000 people will gain health coverage. If the state does not expand eligibility, this group may still purchase health insurance through an exchange, but 103,000 will not be eligible for any tax credits to subsidize the cost of premiums.
Kentucky’s commitment to expand Medicaid eligibility will result in 288,000 people gaining health coverage.
If Louisiana fully expands Medicaid eligibility, 330,000 people will gain health coverage. If the state does not expand eligibility, this group may still purchase health insurance through an exchange, but 260,000 will not be eligible for any tax credits to subsidize the cost of premiums.
If Maine fully expands Medicaid eligibility, 46,000 people will gain health coverage. If the state does not expand eligibility, this group may still purchase health insurance through an exchange, but 32,000 will not be eligible for any tax credits to subsidize the cost of premiums.
Maryland’s commitment to expand Medicaid eligibility will result in 167,000 people gaining health coverage.
Massachusettes’ commitment to expand Medicaid eligibility will result in 88,000 people gaining health coverage.
If Michigan fully expands Medicaid eligibility, 584,000 people will gain health coverage. If the state does not expand eligibility, this group may still purchase health insurance through an exchange, but 430,000 will not be eligible for any tax credits to subsidize the cost of premiums.
Minnesota’s commitment to expand Medicaid eligibility will result in 130,000 people gaining health coverage.
If Mississippi fully expands Medicaid eligibility,231,000 people will gain health coverage. If the state does not expand eligibility, this group may still purchase health insurance through an exchange, but 183,000 will not be eligible for any tax credits to subsidize the cost of premiums.
If Missouri fully expands Medicaid eligibility, 351,000 people will gain health coverage. If the state does not expand eligibility, this group may still purchase health insurance through an exchange, but 267,000 will not be eligible for any tax credits to subsidize the cost of premiums.
If Montana fully expands Medicaid eligibility, 59,000 people will gain health coverage. If the state does not expand eligibility, this group may still purchase health insurance through an exchange, but 43,000 will not be eligible for any tax credits to subsidize the cost of premiums.
If Nebraska fully expands Medicaid eligibility, 78,000 people will gain health coverage. If the state does not expand eligibility, this group may still purchase health insurance through an exchange, but 56,000 will not be eligible for any tax credits to subsidize the cost of premiums.
Nevada’s commitment to expand Medicaid eligibility will result in 163,000 people gaining health coverage.
New Hampshire’s commitment to expand Medicaid eligibility will result in 51,000 people gaining health coverage.
New Jersey’s commitment to expand Medicaid eligibility will result in 307,000 people gaining health coverage.
New Mexico’s commitment to expand Medicaid eligibility will result in 127,000 people gaining health coverage.
New York’s commitment to expand Medicaid eligibility will result in 170,000 people gaining health coverage.
If North Carolina fully expands Medicaid eligibility, 587,000 people will gain health coverage. If the state does not expand eligibility, this group may still purchase health insurance through an exchange, but 438,000 will not be eligible for any tax credits to subsidize the cost of premiums.
North Dakota’s commitment to expand Medicaid eligibility will result in 24,000 people gaining health coverage.
If Ohio fully expands Medicaid eligibility, 578,000 people will gain health coverage. If the state does not expand eligibility, this group may still purchase health insurance through an exchange, but 445,000 will not be eligible for any tax credits to subsidize the cost of premiums.
If Oklahoma fully expands Medicaid eligibility, 225,000 people will gain health coverage. If the state does not expand eligibility, this group may still purchase health insurance through an exchange, but 172,000 will not be eligible for any tax credits to subsidize the cost of premiums.
Oregon’s commitment to expand Medicaid eligibility will result in 252,000 people gaining health coverage.
If Pennsylvania fully expands Medicaid eligibility, 520,000 people will gain health coverage. If the state does not expand eligibility, this group may still purchase health insurance through an exchange, but 398,000 will not be eligible for any tax credits to subsidize the cost of premiums.
Rhode Island’s commitment to expand Medicaid eligibility will result in 38,000 people gaining health coverage.
If South Carolina fully expands Medicaid eligibility, 287,000 people will gain health coverage. If the state does not expand eligibility, this group may still purchase health insurance through an exchange, but 232,000 will not be eligible for any tax credits to subsidize the cost of premiums.
If South Dakota fully expands Medicaid eligibility, 40,000 people will gain health coverage. If the state does not expand eligibility, this group may still purchase health insurance through an exchange, but 30,000 will not be eligible for any tax credits to subsidize the cost of premiums.
If Tennessee fully expands Medicaid eligibility, 361,000 people will gain health coverage. If the state does not expand eligibility, this group may still purchase health insurance through an exchange, but 284,000 will not be eligible for any tax credits to subsidize the cost of premiums.
If Texas fully expands Medicaid eligibility, 1,748,000 people will gain health coverage. If the state does not expand eligibility, this group may still purchase health insurance through an exchange, but 1,326,000 will not be eligible for any tax credits to subsidize the cost of premiums.
If Utah fully expands Medicaid eligibility, 105,000 people will gain health coverage. If the state does not expand eligibility, this group may still purchase health insurance through an exchange, but 73,000 will not be eligible for any tax credits to subsidize the cost of premiums.
Vermont’s commitment to expand Medicaid eligibility will result in <1000 people gaining health coverage.
If Virginia fully expands Medicaid eligibility, 342,000 people will gain health coverage. If the state does not expand eligibility, this group may still purchase health insurance through an exchange, but 271,000 will not be eligible for any tax credits to subsidize the cost of premiums.
Washington’s commitment to expand Medicaid eligibility will result in 308,000 people gaining health coverage.
West Virginia’s commitment to expand Medicaid eligibility will result in 131,000 people gaining health coverage.
If Wisconsin fully expands Medicaid eligibility, 181,000 people will gain health coverage. If the state does not expand eligibility, this group may still purchase health insurance through an exchange, but 145,000 will not be eligible for any tax credits to subsidize the cost of premiums.
If Wyoming fully expands Medicaid eligibility, 24,000 people will gain health coverage. If the state does not expand eligibility, this group may still purchase health insurance through an exchange, but 18,000 will not be eligible for any tax credits to subsidize the cost of premiums.
*Indicates that the standard error is greater than 30 percent of the estimate and should be interpreted with caution.
Source: Urban Institute, "Opting Out of the Medicaid Expansion Under the ACA: How Many Uninsured Adults Would Not Be Eligible for Medicaid"; Elise Viebeck, "Fifteen Governors Reject or Leaning Against Expanded Medicaid Program"; The Advisory Board Company, "Where Each State Stands on ACA's Medicaid Expansion"; Sam Baker, "Perry Rejects Medicaid Expansion, Says He Won't Set Up Insurance Exchange"; Jonathan Starkey, "After Court Ruling on Medicaid, Delaware Remains Uncommitted."